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2024-12-13 10:26:50

A shares: Today's rise is unhealthy. Tomorrow, Black Thursday or Red Thursday?Yesterday, after the market opened higher and closed lower, the next big probability was the shock consolidation rhythm of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and oscillated higher, with an amplitude of 21 points throughout the day, which was basically in line with the forecast. Just to remind you, today's rebound has shrunk, and it is mainly the theme and low-priced stocks that lead the recovery. Be careful of the main plot to lure more people. It is estimated that the curse will be staged again tomorrow!In terms of sectors, except for the sharp drop in insurance, banks, non-metallic materials, batteries and motors fell slightly today, and all other sectors were generally repaired. Leading the gains are mainly consumption and real estate which are favorable for catalysis. In terms of theme, the robot was opened, but it was repaired once again in the session. At least judging from the trend of consumption and real estate, yesterday was not a shipment, but a dish washing.


Emotionally, there are 145 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 105 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the number of stocks with daily limit has reached a recent high, but the risk of mid-ticket ebb tide has also intensified, and the high-bid stocks have obviously differentiated. It is time to test the relay funds again tomorrow, so be careful of the new round of ebb tide risk.To sum up, before the short-term market broke through 3494.87 points and reached a new high, it was basically under the suppression of small highs, so don't expect a big rise before that, be careful that the higher the expectation, the greater the disappointment! In response, we should look at the long-term and short-term, continue to test the market, and continue to wait for the situation to become more clear. Tomorrow, the probability of blindly guessing black Thursday is high, so as to prevent the main force from luring more plots!It is estimated that the support for the next 5 days is easy to fall. Today's support significance has been reflected, but even if the index is sideways at a high level, the 5-day line will passively fall, so the reference significance is not great. The next support level to pay attention to is the short-term trend line, and the other is the triangular upper rail line support. When you step back here, basically this wave of strong dishwashing should be over.


Finally, the small high point is established, and the short-term needs consolidation and repair. It was suggested yesterday that there will be a short-term small high point here, but the back is mainly the consolidation and repair of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Pay attention to two pressure levels, one is 3457 points, which is 1/2 of the false yinxian line on Tuesday; Second, the closing price cannot stand at 3489.78 points, which will form a daily structure.First of all, under the contraction, large funds remained inactive, and the net outflow of domestic institutions was 28.2 billion. Today, not only is the market shrinking, but mainstream broad-based ETFs are also shrinking and repairing. In particular, even if the CSI 1000ETF was released in late trading, the volume of the whole day can be halved compared with the previous trading day. Yesterday's heavy shipment was falsified today, so today's lure depends on tomorrow's test.Finally, the small high point is established, and the short-term needs consolidation and repair. It was suggested yesterday that there will be a short-term small high point here, but the back is mainly the consolidation and repair of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Pay attention to two pressure levels, one is 3457 points, which is 1/2 of the false yinxian line on Tuesday; Second, the closing price cannot stand at 3489.78 points, which will form a daily structure.

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